Weekly report

The week in the market

21–27 September 2026

A closed week, issued the morning it closed and never rewritten. Weeks run Monday to Sunday, from midnight UTC, 8am in Perth.

Download the PDF The figures as a workbook Share

Snapshot · 27 Sept 2026

cars left the market, $444.4M in final asks; at least 5,552 with the seller’s proof: 11,590
price cuts, once per car per day, against 2,281 rises; median cut $1,000: 21,217
median used ask at the close, over 98,983 cars; unchanged: $27,990
cars watched at the close: 157,067

In brief

1Exits ran down 11.0% (−866) on the 7 days before: 7,001 cars on the daily series against 7,867; at least 5,552 of the week's 11,590 carry the seller's own proof of sale.
2Dealers cut 14,460 cars' prices against 1,646 rises: 1.32 cuts a day per 100 cars live, down 11.2% on the 7 days before; the median cut was $1,000.
3The median used asking price closed at $27,990 over 98,983 cars, unchanged on the 7 days before, bases mixed as advertised.
4Of the large states, WA's median used ask moved most, down 1.6% to $30,990 over 17,094 cars; NSW, QLD, SA, TAS held within half a percent.
5Ford Ranger led the market out with 1,363 proved exits, down 3.7% (−53); Kia Sportage rose fastest among the twelve, up 44.6% (+148).
6Electric cars' median used ask closed at $42,990 over 3,892 cars, unchanged; their proved exits down 12.2% (−49).

Computed from the figures below, each with its count; nothing is a forecast.

What moved

7,001 cars left the market in the latest window of the last eight weeks

Cars that left the market, one per vehicle, summed over each window's recorded days, the last eight weeks · cars · n = 52,632 · as at 27 Sept 2026, 08:50 pm AWST · a hollow bar is a window not fully recorded and a tick is a window before the series began; never filled in

Source: the daily roll-up, by window.

14,460 cars cut in the latest window of the last eight weeks

Cars repriced down, once per car per day, summed over each window's recorded days, the last eight weeks · cars · n = 121,147 · as at 27 Sept 2026, 08:50 pm AWST · same marks as the exits chart

Source: the daily roll-up, by window.

Against the 7 days before: exits down 11.0%, proved exits down 13.2%, cuts down 11.0%, rises down 30.4%; cars live at close up 0.3%; the median used ask unchanged; median days to sell down 5.9%.

Exits ran down 11.0% against the 7 days before

Running total of cars that left the market, day by day, this period in ink and the 7 days before in grey on the same days · cars · n = 7,001 · as at 27 Sept 2026, 08:50 pm AWST · a line stops where a day was not recorded

Source: the daily roll-up, this window and the one before.

Powertrains

Prices: the market and waiting cars

Of the large states, WA's median used ask moved most, down 1.6% to $30,990

Median used asking price by state, the 7 days before against this period, states with 1,000 or more priced cars both sides; the headline is the largest move among states with 5,000 or more · dollars · n = 7 · as at 27 Sept 2026, 08:50 pm AWST · asking prices as advertised, bases mixed, one price per car; a state's median can move because the yards it watches changed, not only because sellers repriced

Source: the daily state roll-up, each window's last recorded day.

Days to sell and stock

How long the period’s sales had been advertised

6,363 used and demo cars proved sold in the period, of which 5,047 publish the seller’s own listing date and are what this is measured over; the median is 32 days. Unproved exits are excluded: a page that went quiet is not a sale, and a days-to-sell figure built from both would be measuring two different things.

Cars that left the market · top models

Ford Ranger562
Toyota RAV4269
Ford Everest263
Toyota Hilux258
Mazda CX-5236

11,590 in all. one count per physical car in the week of its final exit, no listing of it still live; value is each car's final ask, once

Most repriced · cuts in the period

Ford Rangermedian $1,000838 cuts
Mitsubishi Outlandermedian $1,000530 cuts
Toyota Hiluxmedian $1,000511 cuts
Toyota RAV4median $700467 cuts
Ford Everestmedian $1,000385 cuts

one count per car per day, however many syndicated copies repeat it; grows as coverage finds more cars

The detail

Against the period before

Against the 7 days before, 14 Sept to 20 Sept: 7 of 7 days recorded in each window. Flows are summed over recorded days, levels read on the last; a comparison the windows cannot bear is left blank with its reason.

This period against the 7 days before, 2026-09-14 to 2026-09-20: cars that left the market, of them proved, cars cut, cars with a rise, cars live at close and the median used ask at close, with the change and, where the windows recorded different numbers of days, the figures per recorded day.
Measure	This period	the 7 days before	Change	Per recorded day
Cars that left the market · cars, one per vehicle	7,001	7,867	down 11.0% (−866)	—
Of them, proved by the seller's page · cars	5,552	6,396	down 13.2% (−844)	—
Cars with a price cut · cars, once per car per day	14,460	16,243	down 11.0% (−1,783)	—
Cars with a price rise · cars, once per car per day	1,646	2,365	down 30.4% (−719)	—
Cars live at close · cars on the last recorded day	157,067	156,655	up 0.3% (+412)	—
Median used asking price at close · one price per car, bases mixed	$27,990	$27,990	unchanged	—
Median days advertised at exit · proved exits with a published age, 5,047 and 4,721 cars	32d	34d	down 5.9% (−2d)	—

Day by day7 days

Cars and advertisements separately wherever both exist; they differ by about half again. Every day due in this period recorded.

One row per recorded day from 2026-09-21 to 2026-09-27, 7 days recorded: listings and cars live, exits in advertisements and in cars with the proved share, their value in dollars at final asking prices, and cuts and rises as events and as cars. Days that recorded nothing are absent, never interpolated.
Day	Live listings	Live cars	Cars proved sold	All exits	Cars cut	Cars up
2026-09-21	234,311	156,859	864	1,094	2,221	291
2026-09-22	235,089	157,288	836	1,130	2,857	356
2026-09-23	236,082	157,848	890	959	2,584	335
2026-09-24	236,649	158,523	790	1,047	2,638	250
2026-09-25	236,818	158,661	956	1,169	2,157	227
2026-09-26	235,045	157,908	923	1,107	1,416	135
2026-09-27	233,550	157,067	293	495	587	52

Cars proved sold: cars whose exit the seller's own page proved: its SOLD text, or a 404/410. All exits: cars that left, recounted on 2026-09-03 against the live listings of that day, the wider figure and the one to read with care: it was recounted after the period closed, so a car that has since been re-advertised has left it. Cars cut: cars repriced down, one per car per day. A dash is a day recorded before these columns existed, not a zero.

By state9 states

Levels are the last recorded day; flows are the period’s total. A state gaining watched cars may just be gaining yards.

By state, 9 states, 2026-09-21 to 2026-09-27: cars watched and their median ask in dollars as advertised on the last recorded day, then cars proved sold and cars cut over the whole period. Levels and flows are different quantities.
State	Cars at close	Median ask	over	Cars proved sold	Cars cut
NSW	39,010	$26,888	25,099	1,107	4,955
VIC	32,962	$29,690	19,677	1,262	4,309
QLD	32,533	$29,888	17,177	1,370	4,369
WA	23,443	$30,990	17,094	754	3,813
UNKNOWN	13,584	$20,995	8,471	469	1,539
SA	9,136	$27,888	6,341	362	1,639
TAS	4,818	$28,990	3,120	179	610
ACT	2,077	$24,950	1,856	37	224
NT	1,644	$33,990	1,044	12	188

“over” is the cars whose price the median was taken across, which is fewer than the cars standing. The proved column sums to the same total as the day-by-day table, because both are written in one pass under one rule. The cut column does not: cars repriced down IN THAT STATE. A car advertised in two states is in both, so this column does not sum to the market total.

What left, by model12 models

The twelve models with most proved exits; stock and its median used ask on the last recorded day, cuts and rises once per car per day.

The twelve models with most proved exits over 2026-09-21 to 2026-09-27, counted in cars: proved exits, listings live and median used ask in dollars as advertised on the last recorded day, median days advertised, and cuts and rises over the period.
Model	Proved exits	Live at close	Median used ask	Median days adv.	Cuts	Rises
Ford Ranger	1,363	9,455	$41,990	56d	1,565	146
Ford Everest	628	4,436	$52,990	63d	869	60
Toyota Hilux	591	4,119	$44,990	32d	919	52
Toyota RAV4	586	3,843	$39,874	27d	787	33
Nissan X-trail	503	5,450	$27,999	79d	578	34
Hyundai Tucson	492	4,889	$29,990	53d	765	46
Hyundai i30	482	2,934	$22,990	41d	417	51
Kia Sportage	480	3,608	$28,990	58d	564	63
Hyundai Kona	460	3,914	$29,490	54d	459	55
Mitsubishi Outlander	441	4,740	$29,900	72d	831	102
Subaru Forester	440	3,435	$29,488	41d	497	16
Mazda CX-5	407	3,663	$26,990	43d	445	48

Days to sell, by state and segment4,501 cars

Days to sell by state and segment, 21 Sept to 27 Sept

Median days advertised at exit, used and proved only, by state and body segment · cars · n = 4,501 · as at 28 Sept 2026, 07:33 am AWST · a cell under the floor of 30 cars prints its count instead of a median. Each cell is the median days advertised at exit with the number of cars beneath it. [u] marks a cell under the floor of 30 cars, shown with its count and no figure (33 such cells here). In each row the highest and lowest figures are in bold; nothing is coloured, because a colour would say more than the sample does.

Median days advertised at exit, used and proved only, by state and body segment · cars · n = 4,501 · as at 28 Sept 2026, 07:33 am AWST · a cell under the floor of 30 cars prints its count instead of a median. Each cell is the median days advertised at exit with the number of cars beneath it. [u] marks a cell under the floor of 30 cars, shown with its count and no figure (33 such cells here). In each row the highest and lowest figures are in bold; nothing is coloured, because a colour would say more than the sample does.
State	SUV	Wagon	Ute	Hatch	Sedan	Van	Coupe	People mover	Convertible	Bus
QLD	22d474	23d219	24d252	13d139	18d88	[u]28	[u]18	[u]1	[u]1	[u]1
VIC	34d428	31d193	29d148	22d137	24d84	54d39	[u]19	[u]11	[u]3	[u]1
NSW	27d326	31d179	22d148	18d124	19d68	[u]11	[u]9	[u]1	[u]1	—
WA	41d296	39d158	40d151	31d130	19d79	[u]14	[u]20	—	[u]3	—
SA	33d141	22d37	58d43	23d37	[u]19	[u]2	[u]3	—	[u]1	—
TAS	26d64	22d41	29d47	[u]18	[u]11	[u]5	[u]2	—	—	—
NT	[u]2	[u]3	[u]3	[u]1	—	—	—	—	[u]1	—

Source: the period's proved exits.

What the prices in this report are

As at 2026-09-27, 99,682 live prices were quoted drive-away, 47,357 excluding government charges, and 90,314 did not say. Every median above is a median across that mix.

The corpus behind these figures

Spotlot monitored 234,311 listings on 2026-09-21 and 233,550 on 2026-09-27 (157,067 physical cars after syndication). listings monitored by Spotlot, which grows with coverage; not a count of the Australian market.

What this report withholds, and why

new to market: first seen during a coverage ramp is discovery, not listing; withheld until coverage stabilises
median ask movement: a median over a sample whose size moves with coverage measures composition; withheld until a week's n holds still

This report as a PDF: issued once on first request and archived as issued. Every later download is the same bytes, and the response carries their sha-256 so a kept copy can be checked.

The figures as a workbook: the series behind every exhibit, one sheet a section, with a Read-me that says what each counts, so a figure can be checked before it is quoted.

The report in one paragraph, every figure as above. Copy it wherever the conversation is.

Spotlot, week of 21–27 September 2026: Exits ran down 11.0% (−866) on the 7 days before: 7,001 cars on the daily series against 7,867; at least 5,552 of the week's 11,590 carry the seller's own proof of sale. 21,217 price cuts against 2,281 rises (median cut $1,000), counted once per car per day. Most repriced: Ford Ranger, 838 cuts. 233,550 listings monitored at close. Observed, never modelled. spotlot.io/reports/w-2026-09-21