Weekly report

The week in the market

14–20 September 2026

A closed week, issued the morning it closed and never rewritten. Weeks run Monday to Sunday, from midnight UTC, 8am in Perth.

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Snapshot · 20 Sept 2026

cars left the market, $504.6M in final asks; at least 6,396 with the seller’s proof: 14,333
price cuts, once per car per day, against 3,088 rises; median cut $1,000: 22,828
median used ask at the close, over 98,925 cars; up 0.1%: $27,990
cars watched at the close: 156,655

In brief

1Exits ran at 1,124 cars a day over 7 recorded days, up 26.5% on the 7 days before (888 a day over 6 recorded); at least 6,396 of the week's 14,333 carry the seller's own proof of sale.
2Dealers cut 16,243 cars' prices against 2,365 rises: 1.48 cuts a day per 100 cars live, down 13.2% on the 7 days before; the median cut was $1,000.
3The median used asking price closed at $27,990 over 98,925 cars, up 0.1% (+$40) on the 7 days before, bases mixed as advertised.
4Of the large states, WA's median used ask moved most, up 5.0% to $31,489 over 16,783 cars; QLD, TAS held within half a percent.
5Ford Ranger led the market out with 1,416 proved exits, up 25.0% per recorded day; Hyundai i30 rose fastest among the twelve, up 82.0% per recorded day.
6Electric cars' median used ask closed at $42,990 over 3,849 cars, unchanged; their proved exits up 71.4% per recorded day.

Computed from the figures below, each with its count; nothing is a forecast.

What moved

7,867 cars left the market in the latest window of the last eight weeks

Cars that left the market, one per vehicle, summed over each window's recorded days, the last eight weeks · cars · n = 45,631 · as at 20 Sept 2026, 08:50 pm AWST · a hollow bar is a window not fully recorded and a tick is a window before the series began; never filled in

Source: the daily roll-up, by window.

16,243 cars cut in the latest window of the last eight weeks

Cars repriced down, once per car per day, summed over each window's recorded days, the last eight weeks · cars · n = 106,687 · as at 20 Sept 2026, 08:50 pm AWST · same marks as the exits chart

Source: the daily roll-up, by window.

Per recorded day against the 7 days before: exits up 26.5%, proved exits up 26.8%, cuts down 11.3%, rises down 24.1%; cars live at close up 2.1%; the median used ask up 0.1%; median days to sell unchanged.

Exits ran up 26.5% per recorded day against the 7 days before

Running total of cars that left the market, day by day, this period in ink and the 7 days before in grey on the same days · cars · n = 7,867 · as at 20 Sept 2026, 08:50 pm AWST · 7 of 7 days recorded this period against 6 of 7 before, so flows are compared per recorded day; a line stops where a day was not recorded

Source: the daily roll-up, this window and the one before.

Powertrains

Prices: the market and waiting cars

Of the large states, WA's median used ask moved most, up 5.0% to $31,489

Median used asking price by state, the 7 days before against this period, states with 1,000 or more priced cars both sides; the headline is the largest move among states with 5,000 or more · dollars · n = 7 · as at 20 Sept 2026, 08:50 pm AWST · asking prices as advertised, bases mixed, one price per car; a state's median can move because the yards it watches changed, not only because sellers repriced

Source: the daily state roll-up, each window's last recorded day.

Days to sell and stock

How long the period’s sales had been advertised

8,669 used and demo cars proved sold in the period, of which 5,047 publish the seller’s own listing date and are what this is measured over; the median is 34 days. Unproved exits are excluded: a page that went quiet is not a sale, and a days-to-sell figure built from both would be measuring two different things.

Cars that left the market · top models

Ford Ranger581
Hyundai Tucson313
Toyota Hilux286
Toyota RAV4282
Mazda CX-5279

14,333 in all. one count per physical car in the week of its final exit, no listing of it still live; value is each car's final ask, once

Most repriced · cuts in the period

Ford Rangermedian $1,000940 cuts
Ford Everestmedian $1,000523 cuts
Toyota RAV4median $898513 cuts
Toyota Hiluxmedian $1,000504 cuts
Mitsubishi Outlandermedian $1,000406 cuts

one count per car per day, however many syndicated copies repeat it; grows as coverage finds more cars

The detail

Against the period before

Against the 7 days before, 7 Sept to 13 Sept: 7 of 7 days recorded this period against 6 of 7 before, so flows are compared per recorded day. Flows are summed over recorded days, levels read on the last; a comparison the windows cannot bear is left blank with its reason.

This period against the 7 days before, 2026-09-07 to 2026-09-13: cars that left the market, of them proved, cars cut, cars with a rise, cars live at close and the median used ask at close, with the change and, where the windows recorded different numbers of days, the figures per recorded day.
Measure	This period	the 7 days before	Change	Per recorded day
Cars that left the market · cars, one per vehicle	7,867	5,329	up 47.6% (+2,538)	1,124 vs 888, up 26.5%
Of them, proved by the seller's page · cars	6,396	4,325	up 47.9% (+2,071)	914 vs 721, up 26.8%
Cars with a price cut · cars, once per car per day	16,243	15,705	up 3.4% (+538)	2,320 vs 2,618, down 11.3%
Cars with a price rise · cars, once per car per day	2,365	2,670	down 11.4% (−305)	338 vs 445, down 24.1%
Cars live at close · cars on the last recorded day	156,655	153,404	up 2.1% (+3,251)	—
Median used asking price at close · one price per car, bases mixed	$27,990	$27,950	up 0.1% (+$40)	—
Median days advertised at exit · proved exits with a published age, 5,047 and 4,779 cars	34d	34d	unchanged	—

Day by day7 days

Cars and advertisements separately wherever both exist; they differ by about half again. Every day due in this period recorded.

One row per recorded day from 2026-09-14 to 2026-09-20, 7 days recorded: listings and cars live, exits in advertisements and in cars with the proved share, their value in dollars at final asking prices, and cuts and rises as events and as cars. Days that recorded nothing are absent, never interpolated.
Day	Live listings	Live cars	Cars proved sold	All exits	Cars cut	Cars up
2026-09-14	223,557	152,714	839	1,080	2,188	303
2026-09-15	231,505	154,956	1,055	1,326	3,422	485
2026-09-16	236,028	157,388	983	1,029	2,882	513
2026-09-17	237,450	158,254	828	1,103	2,947	444
2026-09-18	237,929	158,440	1,237	1,429	2,375	401
2026-09-19	236,311	158,132	1,135	1,384	1,727	153
2026-09-20	234,321	156,655	319	516	702	66

Cars proved sold: cars whose exit the seller's own page proved: its SOLD text, or a 404/410. All exits: cars that left, recounted on 2026-09-03 against the live listings of that day, the wider figure and the one to read with care: it was recounted after the period closed, so a car that has since been re-advertised has left it. Cars cut: cars repriced down, one per car per day. A dash is a day recorded before these columns existed, not a zero.

By state9 states

Levels are the last recorded day; flows are the period’s total. A state gaining watched cars may just be gaining yards.

By state, 9 states, 2026-09-14 to 2026-09-20: cars watched and their median ask in dollars as advertised on the last recorded day, then cars proved sold and cars cut over the whole period. Levels and flows are different quantities.
State	Cars at close	Median ask	over	Cars proved sold	Cars cut
NSW	39,065	$26,888	25,213	1,140	5,543
VIC	32,972	$29,888	19,941	1,466	4,693
QLD	32,962	$29,990	17,220	1,365	4,719
WA	23,007	$31,489	16,783	1,277	4,134
UNKNOWN	13,596	$20,990	8,515	552	1,501
SA	9,144	$27,990	6,365	358	1,523
TAS	4,695	$28,990	3,032	200	535
ACT	1,970	$23,999	1,806	22	319
NT	1,592	$34,980	973	16	163

“over” is the cars whose price the median was taken across, which is fewer than the cars standing. The proved column sums to the same total as the day-by-day table, because both are written in one pass under one rule. The cut column does not: cars repriced down IN THAT STATE. A car advertised in two states is in both, so this column does not sum to the market total.

What left, by model12 models

The twelve models with most proved exits; stock and its median used ask on the last recorded day, cuts and rises once per car per day.

The twelve models with most proved exits over 2026-09-14 to 2026-09-20, counted in cars: proved exits, listings live and median used ask in dollars as advertised on the last recorded day, median days advertised, and cuts and rises over the period.
Model	Proved exits	Live at close	Median used ask	Median days adv.	Cuts	Rises
Ford Ranger	1,416	9,460	$42,490	59d	1,922	161
Hyundai Tucson	766	5,041	$29,990	50d	740	167
Toyota RAV4	674	3,904	$39,888	26d	846	102
Toyota Hilux	620	4,048	$44,990	32d	870	85
Ford Everest	615	4,535	$53,450	66d	1,111	53
Hyundai i30	535	3,048	$23,950	39d	437	85
Mitsubishi Outlander	513	4,566	$29,990	74d	626	181
Mazda CX-5	500	3,551	$26,990	45d	475	55
Hyundai Kona	494	4,062	$29,990	50d	540	149
Mitsubishi Triton	487	3,632	$30,788	64d	525	201
GWM Haval Jolion	466	3,213	$23,880	36d	253	30
Nissan X-trail	453	5,635	$27,990	74d	652	54

Days to sell, by state and segment4,449 cars

Days to sell by state and segment, 14 Sept to 20 Sept

Median days advertised at exit, used and proved only, by state and body segment · cars · n = 4,449 · as at 21 Sept 2026, 07:33 am AWST · a cell under the floor of 30 cars prints its count instead of a median. Each cell is the median days advertised at exit with the number of cars beneath it. [u] marks a cell under the floor of 30 cars, shown with its count and no figure (29 such cells here). In each row the highest and lowest figures are in bold; nothing is coloured, because a colour would say more than the sample does.

Median days advertised at exit, used and proved only, by state and body segment · cars · n = 4,449 · as at 21 Sept 2026, 07:33 am AWST · a cell under the floor of 30 cars prints its count instead of a median. Each cell is the median days advertised at exit with the number of cars beneath it. [u] marks a cell under the floor of 30 cars, shown with its count and no figure (29 such cells here). In each row the highest and lowest figures are in bold; nothing is coloured, because a colour would say more than the sample does.
State	SUV	Wagon	Ute	Hatch	Sedan	Van	Coupe	Convertible	People mover	Bus
QLD	26d434	28d246	31d250	16d146	21d116	[u]13	[u]18	[u]7	—	—
VIC	33d372	26d165	27d138	27d154	19d71	[u]20	[u]16	[u]5	—	—
NSW	31d346	25d189	23d132	16d117	21d58	[u]21	[u]10	[u]1	—	—
WA	40d329	30d164	41d166	36d94	32d69	[u]14	[u]26	[u]4	—	[u]1
SA	28d131	22d56	25d49	24d35	[u]17	[u]3	[u]1	[u]1	[u]1	—
TAS	50d73	23d39	40d54	17d33	[u]11	[u]1	—	—	—	—
NT	[u]3	[u]2	[u]6	—	[u]1	—	—	—	—	—

Source: the period's proved exits.

What the prices in this report are

As at 2026-09-20, 99,126 live prices were quoted drive-away, 47,270 excluding government charges, and 91,544 did not say. Every median above is a median across that mix.

The corpus behind these figures

Spotlot monitored 223,557 listings on 2026-09-14 and 234,321 on 2026-09-20 (156,655 physical cars after syndication). listings monitored by Spotlot, which grows with coverage; not a count of the Australian market.

What this report withholds, and why

new to market: first seen during a coverage ramp is discovery, not listing; withheld until coverage stabilises
median ask movement: a median over a sample whose size moves with coverage measures composition; withheld until a week's n holds still

This report as a PDF: issued once on first request and archived as issued. Every later download is the same bytes, and the response carries their sha-256 so a kept copy can be checked.

The figures as a workbook: the series behind every exhibit, one sheet a section, with a Read-me that says what each counts, so a figure can be checked before it is quoted.

The report in one paragraph, every figure as above. Copy it wherever the conversation is.

Spotlot, week of 14–20 September 2026: Exits ran at 1,124 cars a day over 7 recorded days, up 26.5% on the 7 days before (888 a day over 6 recorded); at least 6,396 of the week's 14,333 carry the seller's own proof of sale. 22,828 price cuts against 3,088 rises (median cut $1,000), counted once per car per day. Most repriced: Ford Ranger, 940 cuts. 234,321 listings monitored at close. Observed, never modelled. spotlot.io/reports/w-2026-09-14