Weekly report · preliminary
The week in the market
7 days into the running week; the figures grow until Monday's report closes them. Weeks run Monday to Sunday, from midnight UTC, 8am in Perth.
- cars left the market, $382.3M in final asks; at least 7,758 with the seller’s proof
- 10,502
- price cuts, once per car per day, against 3,487 rises; median cut $1,000
- 21,078
- median used ask at the close, over 106,884 cars; not compared: the used rule changed on 8 Oct
- $28,490
- cars watched at the close
- 160,426
In brief
- 1Exits ran at 1,673 cars a day over 6 recorded days, up 5.8% on the 7 days before (1,580 a day over 7 recorded), at least 7,758 of them with the seller's own proof of sale.
- 2Dealers cut 20,258 cars' prices against 3,350 rises: 2.10 cuts a day per 100 cars live, up 9.7% on the 7 days before; the median cut was $1,000.
- 3The median used asking price closed at $28,490 over 106,884 cars; the used rule changed on 8 Oct, so it is not compared with the 7 days before.
- 4Electric cars were 4.4% of the used stock at the close and 3.1% of the used cars that left, +0.3 pts on the 7 days before. Plug-in hybrids were 0.9% of the stock, median build 2025 and 6,252 km: near-new cars.
- 5Electric cars were 2.8% of the panel's used exits in the week of 28 Sept (2.8% over every site watched, the difference being coverage), from 2.2% in the week of 17 Aug; hybrids 8.4% from 7.5%: 7 weeks on the same sources.
- 6Ford Ranger led the market out with 1,060 proved exits, down 14.7% per recorded day; Chery Tiggo 4 rose fastest among the twelve, up 35.8% per recorded day.
Computed from the figures below, each with its count; nothing is a forecast.
Series breaks inside this period
2026-10-08 · used rule changed
From 08 Oct 2026 the daily roll-ups count used cars by the one rule, not marked new and 1,000 km or more where the odometer is known, instead of the used label alone. On the snapshot of 07 Oct 2026 the label counted 100,538 cars standing and the rule 106,753, a step of +6,215; every used-stock level, used ask and used-km figure in the roll-ups steps with it. No earlier day is rewritten. Demos past the floor and cars of unstated condition come in; labelled-used cars under 1,000 km go out.
2026-10-09 · daily car counts recounted whole
On 9 October 2026 every day from 11 August was recounted over the whole UTC day. Until then each day's cars that left, cars proved sold and cars cut or raised were counted at 12:50 UTC and never finished, so the afternoon crawl was missing: about a third of exits since September. Reports issued before 12 October compared those part-day counts and keep them as issued; from this issue both windows of every comparison are whole days.
Read the day-by-day table across a step as two series rather than one; a level is not compared across it. Nothing has been smoothed.
What moved
10,035 cars left the market in the latest window of the last eight weeks
Cars that left the market, one per vehicle, summed over each window's recorded days, the last eight weeks · cars · n = 79,709 · as at 11 Oct 2026, 08:50 pm AWST · a hollow bar is a window not fully recorded and a tick is a window before the series began; never filled in
Source: the daily roll-up, by window.
20,258 cars cut in the latest window of the last eight weeks
Cars repriced down, once per car per day, summed over each window's recorded days, the last eight weeks · cars · n = 173,094 · as at 11 Oct 2026, 08:50 pm AWST · same marks as the exits chart
Source: the daily roll-up, by window.
Per recorded day against the 7 days before: exits up 5.8%, proved exits up 6.4%, cuts up 11.2%, rises down 7.2%; cars live at close up 1.4%; the median used ask not compared: the used rule changed on 8 Oct; median days to sell down 10.0%.
Exits ran up 5.8% per recorded day against the 7 days before
Running total of cars that left the market, day by day, this period in ink and the 7 days before in grey on the same days · cars · n = 10,035 · as at 11 Oct 2026, 08:50 pm AWST · 6 of 7 days recorded this period against 7 of 7 before, so flows are compared per recorded day; a line stops where a day was not recorded
Source: the daily roll-up, this window and the one before.
Powertrains
Electric cars were 4.4% of the used stock at the close and 3.1% of the used cars that left, +0.3 pts on the 7 days before. Plug-in hybrids were 0.9% of the stock, median build 2025 and 6,252 km: near-new cars.
Used cars standing on the last recorded day (2026-10-10) and the period's used cars that left, by the powertrain the listing stated. Shares are of the 102,545 standing and 5,982 leaving cars with one; the standing share's change is against the close of the 7 days before, whole watched corpus, the leaving share's against the same period, whole corpus. Medians at the close are over the standing used cars. The standing shares are not compared: the used rule changed on 8 Oct, and the two closes count used cars differently.
| Powertrain | Used at close | Share | vs prior | Used cars that left | Share | vs prior | Median ask | Build | Km | Days advertised |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petrol | 59,092 | 57.6% | — | 3,340 | 55.8% | −1.7 pts | $23,590 | 2021 | 66k | 42d |
| Diesel | 33,070 | 32.2% | — | 1,863 | 31.1% | +1.5 pts | $34,990 | 2021 | 89k | 54d |
| Hybrid | 4,919 | 4.8% | — | 507 | 8.5% | −0.1 pts | $39,990 | 2024 | 34k | 46d |
| Plug-in hybrid | 922 | 0.9% | — | 83 | 1.4% | 0.0 pts | $51,028 | 2025 | 6.3k | 58d |
| Electric | 4,489 | 4.4% | — | 187 | 3.1% | +0.3 pts | $44,888 | 2024 | 19k | 57d |
| LPG | 53 | 0.1% | — | 2 | 0.0% | 0.0 pts | $10,777 | 2010 | 167k | 18d |
| Not stated | 5,941 | — | — | 282 | — | — | $29,999 | 2021 | 73k | 26d |
Source: the daily fuel roll-up for the standing cars, the sold-car record for the cars that left (used by the one rule, dated by the last day advertised). Standing is used by the one rule from 8 October 2026 and the used label before, a series break the report marks where it falls inside a period.
Electric cars were 2.8% of the panel's used exits in the week of 28 Sept, from 2.2% in the week of 17 Aug
Share of each UTC week’s used exits with a stated powertrain, 17 Aug to 28 Sept. Yellow: the constant panel, the sources watched since 17 August and still read at the week’s close. Grey: every site watched that week. The band between them is coverage, not the market. Hollow where fewer than seven days were recorded.
Electric cars were 2.8% of the panel's used exits in the week of 28 Sept (2.8% over every site watched, the difference being coverage), from 2.2% in the week of 17 Aug; hybrids 8.4% from 7.5%: 7 weeks on the same sources.
Source: powertrain_week · sold_car_fact by week, panel and whole corpus.
Electric cars’ share of the standing used stock, week by week
Used cars on the week’s last recorded day with a stated powertrain, whole corpus; no panel, the roll-up reads every site.
Hybrids’ share of the week’s used exits
Same marks as the electric line above: yellow the panel, grey every site, the band coverage.
Electric cars' share of used exits rose in 4 of the 5 states with enough cars to read; Victoria reads highest, at 3.8%
Electric cars’ share of each state’s used exits on the constant panel, 17 Aug to 6 Sept (3 weeks, hollow) against 7 Sept to 4 Oct (4 weeks, yellow). Weeks are pooled so a state reads a share rather than a handful of cars; a state needs 500 stated exits and 15 electric on each side. At right, the electric exits behind each reading.
TAS 10 to 33, ACT 2 to 5, NT 0 to 1 electric exits: too few for a share, so printed as counts.
Source: powertrain_week by state, constant panel.
Prices: the market and waiting cars
The median ask by state is not compared with the 7 days before: the used rule changed on 8 Oct (+6,215 cars counted as used), so the two closes count used cars differently.
Days to sell and stock
Days of stock are counted when the week closes: a running week’s exits are still being confirmed, so its pace runs slow.
How long the period’s sales had been advertised
5,801 used and demo cars proved sold in the period, of which 4,562 publish the seller’s own listing date and are what this is measured over; the median is 27 days. Unproved exits are excluded: a page that went quiet is not a sale, and a days-to-sell figure built from both would be measuring two different things.
Cars that left the market · top models
- Ford Ranger491
- Toyota Hilux257
- Toyota RAV4244
- Ford Everest240
- Mazda CX-5231
10,502 in all. one count per physical car in the week of its final exit, no listing of it still live; value is each car's final ask, once
Most repriced · cuts in the period
- Ford Rangermedian $1,000775 cuts
- Toyota Hiluxmedian $1,000555 cuts
- Toyota RAV4median $784466 cuts
- Mitsubishi Outlandermedian $1,000454 cuts
- Nissan X-trailmedian $1,000416 cuts
one count per car per day, however many syndicated copies repeat it; grows as coverage finds more cars
The detail
Against the period before
Against the 7 days before, 28 Sept to 4 Oct: 6 of 7 days recorded this period against 7 of 7 before, so flows are compared per recorded day. Flows are summed over recorded days, levels read on the last; a comparison the windows cannot bear is left blank with its reason. On 9 October 2026 every day from 11 August was recounted over the whole UTC day. Until then each day's cars that left, cars proved sold and cars cut or raised were counted at 12:50 UTC and never finished, so the afternoon crawl was missing: about a third of exits since September. Reports issued before 12 October compared those part-day counts and keep them as issued; from this issue both windows of every comparison are whole days.
| Measure | This period | the 7 days before | Change | Per recorded day |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cars that left the market · cars, one per vehicle | 10,035 | 11,063 | down 9.3% (−1,028) | 1,673 vs 1,580, up 5.8% |
| Of them, proved by the seller's page · cars | 7,758 | 8,507 | down 8.8% (−749) | 1,293 vs 1,215, up 6.4% |
| Cars with a price cut · cars, once per car per day | 20,258 | 21,253 | down 4.7% (−995) | 3,376 vs 3,036, up 11.2% |
| Cars with a price rise · cars, once per car per day | 3,350 | 4,212 | down 20.5% (−862) | 558 vs 602, down 7.2% |
| Cars live at close · cars on the last recorded day | 160,426 | 158,255 | up 1.4% (+2,171) | — |
| Median used asking price at close · one price per car, bases mixed | $28,490 | $27,990 | — | — |
| Median days advertised at exit · proved exits with a published age, 4,562 and 4,581 cars | 27d | 30d | down 10.0% (−3d) | — |
Median used asking price at close: the used rule changed on 8 Oct (+6,215 cars counted as used), so the two closes count used cars differently.
Day by day
Cars and advertisements separately wherever both exist; they differ by about half again. Every day due in this period recorded. 1 day is still to be written: 2026-10-11. The daily roll-up runs at 12:50 UTC, so today appears here until it does.
| Day | Live listings | Live cars | Cars proved sold | All exits | Cars cut | Cars up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 234,336 | 157,413 | 942 | 1,485 | 2,954 | 433 |
| 2026-10-06 | 234,702 | 157,546 | 1,372 | 1,799 | 3,465 | 1,121 |
| 2026-10-07 | 236,313 | 158,364 | 1,344 | 1,516 | 4,190 | 510 |
| 2026-10-08 | 238,689 | 160,256 | 1,251 | 1,548 | 3,984 | 487 |
| 2026-10-09 | 238,657 | 160,086 | 1,249 | 1,651 | 2,951 | 347 |
| 2026-10-10 | 238,334 | 160,426 | 1,600 | 2,036 | 2,714 | 452 |
Cars proved sold: cars whose exit the seller's own page proved: its SOLD text, or a 404/410. All exits: cars that left, recounted on 2026-09-03 against the live listings of that day, the wider figure and the one to read with care: it was recounted after the period closed, so a car that has since been re-advertised has left it. Cars cut: cars repriced down, one per car per day. A dash is a day recorded before these columns existed, not a zero.
By state
Levels are the last recorded day; flows are the period’s total. A state gaining watched cars may just be gaining yards.
| State | Cars at close | Median ask | over | Median km | Cars proved sold | Cars cut |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSW | 39,183 | $26,888 | 26,553 | 81k | 1,374 | 4,105 |
| VIC | 34,655 | $29,990 | 21,330 | 70k | 2,003 | 4,419 |
| QLD | 34,177 | $29,990 | 18,822 | 64k | 1,640 | 4,333 |
| WA | 23,000 | $30,999 | 17,300 | 73k | 1,392 | 4,296 |
| UNKNOWN | 13,940 | $23,290 | 10,874 | 113k | 605 | 1,458 |
| SA | 9,310 | $27,990 | 6,809 | 74k | 474 | 1,186 |
| TAS | 4,961 | $29,990 | 3,227 | 69k | 228 | 486 |
| ACT | 2,043 | $23,990 | 1,841 | 84k | 23 | 117 |
| NT | 1,614 | $34,985 | 1,130 | 81k | 19 | 114 |
“over” is the cars whose price the median was taken across, which is fewer than the cars standing. Median km is the median odometer of the same used cars, read at the close, half a day after the median ask. The proved column sums to the same total as the day-by-day table, because both are written in one pass under one rule. The cut column does not: cars repriced down IN THAT STATE. A car advertised in two states is in both, so this column does not sum to the market total.
What left, by model
The twelve models with most proved exits; stock and its median used ask on the last recorded day, cuts and rises once per car per day.
| Model | Proved exits | Live at close | Median used ask | Median days adv. | Cuts | Rises |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ford Ranger | 1,060 | 9,519 | $41,990 | 40d | 1,493 | 121 |
| Ford Everest | 560 | 4,683 | $53,487 | 51d | 886 | 75 |
| Toyota RAV4 | 544 | 3,758 | $39,388 | 30d | 834 | 81 |
| Hyundai Tucson | 542 | 4,899 | $29,990 | 57d | 834 | 105 |
| Nissan X-trail | 517 | 5,428 | $28,490 | 74d | 707 | 115 |
| Toyota Hilux | 514 | 4,238 | $44,990 | 31d | 906 | 82 |
| Mitsubishi Outlander | 423 | 4,867 | $29,950 | 57d | 697 | 171 |
| Hyundai Kona | 398 | 4,135 | $29,977 | 51d | 520 | 140 |
| Hyundai i30 | 396 | 3,118 | $22,990 | 37d | 463 | 37 |
| Mitsubishi Triton | 370 | 3,899 | $29,999 | 56d | 399 | 103 |
| Mazda CX-5 | 356 | 3,741 | $27,690 | 43d | 472 | 50 |
| Chery Tiggo 4 | 340 | 3,090 | $22,990 | 28d | 284 | 55 |
Days to sell, by state and segment
Days to sell by state and segment, 5 Oct to 11 Oct
| State | SUV | Wagon | Ute | Hatch | Sedan | Van | Coupe | Convertible | People mover | Bus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VIC | 27d413 | 24d197 | 27d169 | 18d159 | 20d86 | [u]20 | [u]8 | [u]1 | [u]2 | [u]1 |
| QLD | 24d357 | 18d181 | 20d205 | 16d133 | 13d97 | [u]17 | [u]18 | [u]2 | — | — |
| WA | 30d330 | 40d169 | 35d178 | 28d131 | 29d83 | [u]28 | [u]21 | [u]2 | — | — |
| NSW | 22d293 | 23d135 | 15d114 | 19d104 | 11d51 | [u]10 | [u]9 | [u]1 | [u]1 | — |
| SA | 22d105 | 31d43 | [u]29 | [u]24 | [u]19 | [u]3 | [u]1 | [u]1 | — | — |
| TAS | 25d56 | 32d31 | 32d45 | [u]20 | [u]12 | [u]1 | [u]1 | — | — | — |
| NT | [u]4 | [u]1 | [u]3 | — | [u]1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Source: the period's proved exits.
What the prices in this report are
As at 2026-10-10, 99,890 live prices were quoted drive-away, 46,915 excluding government charges, and 92,321 did not say. Every median above is a median across that mix.
The corpus behind these figures
Spotlot monitored 234,336 listings on 2026-10-05 and 238,334 on 2026-10-10 (160,426 physical cars after syndication). listings monitored by Spotlot, which grows with coverage; not a count of the Australian market.
What this report withholds, and why
- new to market: first seen during a coverage ramp is discovery, not listing; withheld until coverage stabilises
- median ask movement: a median over a sample whose size moves with coverage measures composition; withheld until a week's n holds still