In brief

174,867 cars left the market over 92 days, 47 of them recorded, at least 45,256 of them proved by the seller's own page. No comparison is drawn: the 92 days before recorded no day: the daily series began 2026-08-11, so there is nothing to compare this period with.
2The cars that sold had been advertised a median 34 days, over 30,843 proved exits with a published age.

Computed from the figures below, each with its count; nothing is a forecast.

Series breaks inside this period

2026-08-29 · lapse reclassification
On 29 August 10,174 listings were reclassified as lapsed in one pass, 6,582 of them in WA, against 437 to 1,326 on the days either side. A lapse means we can no longer watch a listing, not that the car left the market, so a fall across this date is a change in what we can see rather than in what is for sale.

Read the day-by-day table across a step as two series rather than one; a level is not compared across it. Nothing has been smoothed.

What moved

55,935 cars left the market in the latest window of the last eight quarter-length windows

Cars that left the market, one per vehicle, summed over each window's recorded days, the last eight quarter-length windows · cars · n = 55,935 · as at 30 Sept 2026, 08:50 pm AWST · a hollow bar is a window not fully recorded and a tick is a window before the series began; never filled in

Source: the daily roll-up, by window.

126,783 cars cut in the latest window of the last eight quarter-length windows

Cars repriced down, once per car per day, summed over each window's recorded days, the last eight quarter-length windows · cars · n = 126,783 · as at 30 Sept 2026, 08:50 pm AWST · same marks as the exits chart

Source: the daily roll-up, by window.

The quarter week by week · cars that left the market

cars, one per vehicle, summed by UTC week from Monday; the first and last weeks hold only the days inside the period, and a hollow bar is a week not fully recorded

Powertrains

Days to sell and stock

How long the period’s sales had been advertised

41,980 used and demo cars proved sold in the period, of which 30,843 publish the seller’s own listing date and are what this is measured over; the median is 34 days. Unproved exits are excluded: a page that went quiet is not a sale, and a days-to-sell figure built from both would be measuring two different things.

Cars that left the market · top models

Ford Ranger3,404
Toyota Hilux1,712
Mazda CX-51,656
Toyota RAV41,627
Hyundai Tucson1,609

74,867 in all. one count per physical car in the week of its final exit, no listing of it still live; value is each car's final ask, once

Most repriced · cuts in the period

Ford Rangermedian $1,0006,868 cuts
Toyota Hiluxmedian $1,0003,684 cuts
Toyota RAV4median $8983,669 cuts
Nissan X-trailmedian $1,0003,546 cuts
Ford Everestmedian $1,0003,469 cuts

one count per car per day, however many syndicated copies repeat it; grows as coverage finds more cars

The detail

Against the period before

Against the 92 days before, 31 Mar to 30 June: the 92 days before recorded no day: the daily series began 2026-08-11, so there is nothing to compare this period with. Flows are summed over recorded days, levels read on the last; a comparison the windows cannot bear is left blank with its reason.

This period against the 92 days before, 2026-03-31 to 2026-06-30: cars that left the market, of them proved, cars cut, cars with a rise, cars live at close and the median used ask at close, with the change and, where the windows recorded different numbers of days, the figures per recorded day.
Measure	This period	the 92 days before	Change	Per recorded day
Cars that left the market · cars, one per vehicle	55,935	—	—	—
Of them, proved by the seller's page · cars	45,256	—	—	—
Cars with a price cut · cars, once per car per day	126,783	—	—	—
Cars with a price rise · cars, once per car per day	17,532	—	—	—
Cars live at close · cars on the last recorded day	157,592	—	—	—
Median used asking price at close · one price per car, bases mixed	$27,990	—	—	—
Median days advertised at exit · proved exits with a published age, 30,843 and 0 cars	34d	—	—	—

Cars that left the market, Of them, proved by the seller's page, Cars with a price cut, Cars with a price rise, Cars live at close, Median days advertised at exit: the 92 days before recorded no day: the daily series began 2026-08-11, so there is nothing to compare this period with. Median used asking price at close: written daily since 2026-09-05; only one window has it.

Day by day47 days

Cars and advertisements separately wherever both exist; they differ by about half again. 45 days in this period recorded nothing and are absent below rather than interpolated: 2026-07-01, 2026-07-02, 2026-07-03, 2026-07-04, 2026-07-05, 2026-07-06, 2026-07-07, 2026-07-08, 2026-07-09, 2026-07-10, 2026-07-11, 2026-07-12, 2026-07-13, 2026-07-14, 2026-07-15, 2026-07-16, 2026-07-17, 2026-07-18, 2026-07-19, 2026-07-20, 2026-07-21, 2026-07-22, 2026-07-23, 2026-07-24, 2026-07-25, 2026-07-26, 2026-07-27, 2026-07-28, 2026-07-29, 2026-07-30, 2026-07-31, 2026-08-01, 2026-08-02, 2026-08-03, 2026-08-04, 2026-08-05, 2026-08-06, 2026-08-07, 2026-08-08, 2026-08-09, 2026-08-10, 2026-08-12, 2026-08-23, 2026-09-03, 2026-09-12.

One row per recorded day from 2026-07-01 to 2026-09-30, 47 days recorded: listings and cars live, exits in advertisements and in cars with the proved share, their value in dollars at final asking prices, and cuts and rises as events and as cars. Days that recorded nothing are absent, never interpolated.
Day	Live listings	Live cars	Cars proved sold	All exits	Cars cut	Cars up
2026-08-11	49,673	41,516	428	428	855	189
2026-08-13	161,812	99,677	919	919	2,562	222
2026-08-14	183,611	117,369	1,383	1,383	2,892	366
2026-08-15	184,338	119,575	1,936	1,983	1,110	236
2026-08-16	189,305	120,262	789	1,083	748	132
2026-08-17	205,325	134,787	644	840	1,578	245
2026-08-18	216,174	144,166	1,428	1,858	4,934	531
2026-08-19	220,201	147,941	1,190	1,418	4,925	493
2026-08-20	222,822	150,325	1,106	1,401	4,537	474
2026-08-21	224,719	152,301	1,276	1,520	3,951	476
2026-08-22	224,019	152,954	1,424	1,657	3,054	324
2026-08-24	224,545	152,601	1,199	1,661	3,635	428
2026-08-25	226,590	154,412	1,133	1,350	4,133	401
2026-08-26	229,471	156,568	1,183	1,342	3,990	465
2026-08-27	231,525	158,140	1,043	1,512	4,193	523
2026-08-28	233,882	160,191	1,302	1,772	3,675	654
2026-08-29	223,258	151,040	1,340	1,629	2,767	434
2026-08-30	222,185	150,480	500	970	1,577	190
2026-08-31	221,797	149,984	1,325	1,718	2,770	513
2026-09-01	224,506	151,956	1,220	1,427	4,707	837
2026-09-02	227,302	153,740	1,268	1,426	4,932	864
2026-09-04	231,109	155,909	955	1,299	3,809	477
2026-09-05	229,454	155,436	885	1,117	2,477	345
2026-09-06	226,406	153,007	410	722	928	118
2026-09-07	225,678	152,511	963	1,124	2,214	392
2026-09-08	225,956	152,759	830	1,034	3,182	496
2026-09-09	227,379	153,496	876	915	2,795	528
2026-09-10	228,768	154,726	556	788	3,166	311
2026-09-11	230,416	155,695	815	977	3,475	837
2026-09-13	224,640	153,404	285	491	873	106
2026-09-14	223,557	152,714	839	1,080	2,188	303
2026-09-15	231,505	154,956	1,055	1,326	3,422	485
2026-09-16	236,028	157,388	983	1,029	2,882	513
2026-09-17	237,450	158,254	828	1,103	2,947	444
2026-09-18	237,929	158,440	1,237	1,429	2,375	401
2026-09-19	236,311	158,132	1,135	1,384	1,727	153
2026-09-20	234,321	156,655	319	516	702	66
2026-09-21	234,311	156,859	864	1,094	2,221	291
2026-09-22	235,089	157,288	836	1,130	2,857	356
2026-09-23	236,082	157,848	890	959	2,584	335
2026-09-24	236,649	158,523	790	1,047	2,638	250
2026-09-25	236,818	158,661	956	1,169	2,157	227
2026-09-26	235,045	157,908	923	1,107	1,416	135
2026-09-27	233,550	157,067	293	495	587	52
2026-09-28	232,653	156,453	814	1,092	1,763	298
2026-09-29	233,071	156,964	901	1,156	1,848	201
2026-09-30	233,979	157,592	982	1,055	2,025	415

Cars proved sold: cars whose exit the seller's own page proved: its SOLD text, or a 404/410. All exits: cars that left, recounted on 2026-09-03 against the live listings of that day, the wider figure and the one to read with care: it was recounted after the period closed, so a car that has since been re-advertised has left it. Cars cut: cars repriced down, one per car per day. A dash is a day recorded before these columns existed, not a zero.

By state9 states

Levels are the last recorded day; flows are the period’s total. A state gaining watched cars may just be gaining yards.

By state, 9 states, 2026-07-01 to 2026-09-30: cars watched and their median ask in dollars as advertised on the last recorded day, then cars proved sold and cars cut over the whole period. Levels and flows are different quantities.
State	Cars at close	Median ask	over	Cars proved sold	Cars cut
NSW	39,134	$26,888	25,007	8,268	33,489
VIC	33,537	$29,490	19,874	10,919	30,315
QLD	32,729	$29,880	17,322	9,788	33,215
WA	22,880	$30,990	17,006	7,037	26,021
UNKNOWN	13,655	$20,995	8,519	3,727	13,877
SA	9,270	$27,880	6,482	2,511	8,509
TAS	4,884	$28,990	3,146	1,497	4,757
ACT	2,060	$24,950	1,837	75	1,200
NT	1,674	$33,980	1,072	87	1,159

“over” is the cars whose price the median was taken across, which is fewer than the cars standing. The proved column sums to the same total as the day-by-day table, because both are written in one pass under one rule. The cut column does not: cars repriced down IN THAT STATE. A car advertised in two states is in both, so this column does not sum to the market total.

What left, by model12 models

The twelve models with most proved exits; stock and its median used ask on the last recorded day, cuts and rises once per car per day.

The twelve models with most proved exits over 2026-07-01 to 2026-09-30, counted in cars: proved exits, listings live and median used ask in dollars as advertised on the last recorded day, median days advertised, and cuts and rises over the period.
Model	Proved exits	Live at close	Median used ask	Median days adv.	Cuts	Rises
Ford Ranger	8,287	9,315	$41,999	53d	11,529	1,277
Ford Everest	3,869	4,474	$52,990	59d	6,584	515
Toyota RAV4	3,805	3,885	$39,888	28d	5,990	512
Toyota Hilux	3,783	4,207	$44,990	32d	5,860	470
Hyundai Tucson	3,655	4,908	$29,990	55d	5,405	777
Mazda CX-5	3,160	3,695	$26,990	42d	3,134	330
Nissan X-trail	3,087	5,390	$27,998	79d	5,087	540
Mitsubishi Outlander	3,080	4,751	$29,950	65d	5,234	1,182
Hyundai i30	2,941	3,019	$22,990	37d	3,044	444
GWM Haval Jolion	2,876	3,157	$23,884	36d	1,837	426
Hyundai Kona	2,854	3,961	$29,490	54d	3,752	543
Mitsubishi Triton	2,849	3,719	$29,990	60d	3,779	1,142

Days to sell, by state and segment27,614 cars

Days to sell by state and segment, 1 July to 30 Sept

Median days advertised at exit, used and proved only, by state and body segment · cars · n = 27,614 · as at 1 Oct 2026, 07:33 am AWST · a cell under the floor of 30 cars prints its count instead of a median. Each cell is the median days advertised at exit with the number of cars beneath it. [u] marks a cell under the floor of 30 cars, shown with its count and no figure (35 such cells here). In each row the highest and lowest figures are in bold; nothing is coloured, because a colour would say more than the sample does.

Median days advertised at exit, used and proved only, by state and body segment · cars · n = 27,614 · as at 1 Oct 2026, 07:33 am AWST · a cell under the floor of 30 cars prints its count instead of a median. Each cell is the median days advertised at exit with the number of cars beneath it. [u] marks a cell under the floor of 30 cars, shown with its count and no figure (35 such cells here). In each row the highest and lowest figures are in bold; nothing is coloured, because a colour would say more than the sample does.
State	SUV	Ute	Wagon	Hatch	Sedan	Van	Coupe	Convertible	People mover	Bus
QLD	26d2,507	27d1,485	29d1,306	20d919	21d544	26d138	27d109	[u]20	[u]2	[u]8
VIC	37d2,446	32d904	32d1,078	22d790	22d515	49d194	22d84	[u]14	[u]15	[u]3
NSW	27d2,182	27d987	25d1,117	20d794	22d398	24d97	24d75	[u]7	[u]6	[u]2
WA	41d1,999	40d1,043	36d1,030	31d758	30d449	33d107	35d152	[u]21	[u]1	[u]3
SA	27d707	28d272	24d264	18d163	16d109	[u]15	[u]13	[u]4	[u]2	—
TAS	35d453	37d319	27d245	18d163	26d60	[u]27	[u]14	[u]3	—	—
not stated	42d120	53d73	60d46	36d43	[u]13	[u]8	[u]5	[u]2	—	—
NT	[u]15	[u]23	[u]9	[u]2	[u]4	—	[u]1	[u]1	—	—

Source: the period's proved exits.

What the prices in this report are

As at 2026-09-30, 99,682 live prices were quoted drive-away, 47,357 excluding government charges, and 91,962 did not say. Every median above is a median across that mix.

The corpus behind these figures

Spotlot monitored 49,673 listings on 2026-08-11 and 233,979 on 2026-09-30 (157,592 physical cars after syndication). listings monitored by Spotlot, which grows with coverage; not a count of the Australian market.

What this report withholds, and why

new to market: first seen during a coverage ramp is discovery, not listing; withheld until coverage stabilises
median ask movement: a median over a sample whose size moves with coverage measures composition; withheld until a week's n holds still

This report as a PDF: issued once on first request and archived as issued. Every later download is the same bytes, and the response carries their sha-256 so a kept copy can be checked.

The figures as a workbook: the series behind every exhibit, one sheet a section, with a Read-me that says what each counts, so a figure can be checked before it is quoted.

The report in one paragraph, every figure as above. Copy it wherever the conversation is.

Spotlot, Q3 2026: 74,867 cars left the market over 92 days, 47 of them recorded, at least 45,256 of them proved by the seller's own page. No comparison is drawn: the 92 days before recorded no day: the daily series began 2026-08-11, so there is nothing to compare this period with. 162,413 price cuts against 20,176 rises (median cut $1,000), counted once per car per day. Most repriced: Ford Ranger, 6,868 cuts. 233,979 listings monitored at close. Observed, never modelled. spotlot.io/reports/q-2026-Q3