Monthly report
The month in the market
A closed calendar month, issued the morning it closed and never rewritten. Months close at midnight UTC on the first, 8am in Perth.
- cars left the market, $1.82B in final asks; at least 23,708 with the seller’s proof
- 48,168
- price cuts, once per car per day, against 13,250 rises; median cut $1,000
- 101,273
- median used ask at the close, over 99,309 cars
- $27,990
- cars watched at the close
- 157,592
In brief
- 1Exits ran at 1,053 cars a day over 28 recorded days, down 24.3% on the previous calendar month (1,392 a day over 19 recorded); at least 23,708 of the month's 48,168 carry the seller's own proof of sale.
- 2Dealers cut 68,897 cars' prices against 10,236 rises: 1.56 cuts a day per 100 cars live, down 23.1% on the previous calendar month; the median cut was $1,000.
- 3Of the large states, SA's median used ask moved most, up 3.3% to $27,880 over 6,482 cars; QLD, NT held within half a percent.
- 4Ford Ranger led the market out with 5,212 proved exits, up 15.0% per recorded day; Hyundai i30 rose fastest among the twelve, up 20.9% per recorded day.
- 5Electric cars' median used ask closed at $42,990 over 3,870 cars, unchanged; their proved exits down 15.7% per recorded day.
- 6The cars that sold had been advertised a median 33 days, over 19,809 proved exits with a published age, against 35 in the previous calendar month (11,034 cars).
Computed from the figures below, each with its count; nothing is a forecast.
What moved
29,491 cars left the market in the latest window of the last six months
Cars that left the market, one per vehicle, summed over each window's recorded days, the last six months · cars · n = 55,935 · as at 30 Sept 2026, 08:50 pm AWST · a hollow bar is a window not fully recorded and a tick is a window before the series began; never filled in
Source: the daily roll-up, by window.
68,897 cars cut in the latest window of the last six months
Cars repriced down, once per car per day, summed over each window's recorded days, the last six months · cars · n = 126,783 · as at 30 Sept 2026, 08:50 pm AWST · same marks as the exits chart
Source: the daily roll-up, by window.
Per recorded day against the previous calendar month: exits down 24.3%, proved exits down 25.3%, cuts down 19.2%, rises down 4.8%; cars live at close up 5.1%; median days to sell down 5.7%.
Exits ran down 24.3% per recorded day against the previous calendar month
Running total of cars that left the market, day by day, this period in ink and the previous calendar month in grey on the same days · cars · n = 29,491 · as at 30 Sept 2026, 08:50 pm AWST · 28 of 30 days recorded this period against 19 of 31 before, so flows are compared per recorded day; a line stops where a day was not recorded
Source: the daily roll-up, this window and the one before.
The month week by week · cars that left the market
cars, one per vehicle, summed by UTC week from Monday; the first and last weeks hold only the days inside the period, and a hollow bar is a week not fully recorded
Powertrains
Prices: the market and waiting cars
Of the large states, SA's median used ask moved most, up 3.3% to $27,880
Median used asking price by state, the previous calendar month against this period, states with 1,000 or more priced cars both sides; the headline is the largest move among states with 5,000 or more · dollars · n = 8 · as at 30 Sept 2026, 08:50 pm AWST · asking prices as advertised, bases mixed, one price per car; a state's median can move because the yards it watches changed, not only because sellers repriced
Source: the daily state roll-up, each window's last recorded day.
Days to sell and stock
How long the period’s sales had been advertised
26,794 used and demo cars proved sold in the period, of which 19,809 publish the seller’s own listing date and are what this is measured over; the median is 33 days. Unproved exits are excluded: a page that went quiet is not a sale, and a days-to-sell figure built from both would be measuring two different things.
Cars that left the market · top models
- Ford Ranger2,232
- Toyota Hilux1,078
- Toyota RAV41,015
- Hyundai Tucson1,007
- Mazda CX-5985
48,168 in all. one count per physical car in the week of its final exit, no listing of it still live; value is each car's final ask, once
Most repriced · cuts in the period
- Ford Rangermedian $1,0004,021 cuts
- Nissan X-trailmedian $1,0002,348 cuts
- Toyota Hiluxmedian $1,0002,236 cuts
- Toyota RAV4median $8902,176 cuts
- Mitsubishi Outlandermedian $1,0002,071 cuts
one count per car per day, however many syndicated copies repeat it; grows as coverage finds more cars
The detail
Against the period before
Against the previous calendar month, 1 Aug to 31 Aug: 28 of 30 days recorded this period against 19 of 31 before, so flows are compared per recorded day. Flows are summed over recorded days, levels read on the last; a comparison the windows cannot bear is left blank with its reason.
| Measure | This period | the previous calendar month | Change | Per recorded day |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cars that left the market · cars, one per vehicle | 29,491 | 26,444 | up 11.5% (+3,047) | 1,053 vs 1,392, down 24.3% |
| Of them, proved by the seller's page · cars | 23,708 | 21,548 | up 10.0% (+2,160) | 847 vs 1,134, down 25.3% |
| Cars with a price cut · cars, once per car per day | 68,897 | 57,886 | up 19.0% (+11,011) | 2,461 vs 3,047, down 19.2% |
| Cars with a price rise · cars, once per car per day | 10,236 | 7,296 | up 40.3% (+2,940) | 366 vs 384, down 4.8% |
| Cars live at close · cars on the last recorded day | 157,592 | 149,984 | up 5.1% (+7,608) | — |
| Median used asking price at close · one price per car, bases mixed | $27,990 | — | — | — |
| Median days advertised at exit · proved exits with a published age, 19,809 and 11,034 cars | 33d | 35d | down 5.7% (−2d) | — |
Median used asking price at close: written daily since 2026-09-05; only one window has it.
Day by day
Cars and advertisements separately wherever both exist; they differ by about half again. 2 days in this period recorded nothing and are absent below rather than interpolated: 2026-09-03, 2026-09-12.
| Day | Live listings | Live cars | Cars proved sold | All exits | Cars cut | Cars up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | 224,506 | 151,956 | 1,220 | 1,427 | 4,707 | 837 |
| 2026-09-02 | 227,302 | 153,740 | 1,268 | 1,426 | 4,932 | 864 |
| 2026-09-04 | 231,109 | 155,909 | 955 | 1,299 | 3,809 | 477 |
| 2026-09-05 | 229,454 | 155,436 | 885 | 1,117 | 2,477 | 345 |
| 2026-09-06 | 226,406 | 153,007 | 410 | 722 | 928 | 118 |
| 2026-09-07 | 225,678 | 152,511 | 963 | 1,124 | 2,214 | 392 |
| 2026-09-08 | 225,956 | 152,759 | 830 | 1,034 | 3,182 | 496 |
| 2026-09-09 | 227,379 | 153,496 | 876 | 915 | 2,795 | 528 |
| 2026-09-10 | 228,768 | 154,726 | 556 | 788 | 3,166 | 311 |
| 2026-09-11 | 230,416 | 155,695 | 815 | 977 | 3,475 | 837 |
| 2026-09-13 | 224,640 | 153,404 | 285 | 491 | 873 | 106 |
| 2026-09-14 | 223,557 | 152,714 | 839 | 1,080 | 2,188 | 303 |
| 2026-09-15 | 231,505 | 154,956 | 1,055 | 1,326 | 3,422 | 485 |
| 2026-09-16 | 236,028 | 157,388 | 983 | 1,029 | 2,882 | 513 |
| 2026-09-17 | 237,450 | 158,254 | 828 | 1,103 | 2,947 | 444 |
| 2026-09-18 | 237,929 | 158,440 | 1,237 | 1,429 | 2,375 | 401 |
| 2026-09-19 | 236,311 | 158,132 | 1,135 | 1,384 | 1,727 | 153 |
| 2026-09-20 | 234,321 | 156,655 | 319 | 516 | 702 | 66 |
| 2026-09-21 | 234,311 | 156,859 | 864 | 1,094 | 2,221 | 291 |
| 2026-09-22 | 235,089 | 157,288 | 836 | 1,130 | 2,857 | 356 |
| 2026-09-23 | 236,082 | 157,848 | 890 | 959 | 2,584 | 335 |
| 2026-09-24 | 236,649 | 158,523 | 790 | 1,047 | 2,638 | 250 |
| 2026-09-25 | 236,818 | 158,661 | 956 | 1,169 | 2,157 | 227 |
| 2026-09-26 | 235,045 | 157,908 | 923 | 1,107 | 1,416 | 135 |
| 2026-09-27 | 233,550 | 157,067 | 293 | 495 | 587 | 52 |
| 2026-09-28 | 232,653 | 156,453 | 814 | 1,092 | 1,763 | 298 |
| 2026-09-29 | 233,071 | 156,964 | 901 | 1,156 | 1,848 | 201 |
| 2026-09-30 | 233,979 | 157,592 | 982 | 1,055 | 2,025 | 415 |
Cars proved sold: cars whose exit the seller's own page proved: its SOLD text, or a 404/410. All exits: cars that left, recounted on 2026-09-03 against the live listings of that day, the wider figure and the one to read with care: it was recounted after the period closed, so a car that has since been re-advertised has left it. Cars cut: cars repriced down, one per car per day. A dash is a day recorded before these columns existed, not a zero.
By state
Levels are the last recorded day; flows are the period’s total. A state gaining watched cars may just be gaining yards.
| State | Cars at close | Median ask | over | Cars proved sold | Cars cut |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSW | 39,134 | $26,888 | 25,007 | 4,474 | 21,977 |
| VIC | 33,537 | $29,490 | 19,874 | 5,587 | 19,589 |
| QLD | 32,729 | $29,880 | 17,322 | 5,566 | 20,438 |
| WA | 22,880 | $30,990 | 17,006 | 3,665 | 15,755 |
| UNKNOWN | 13,655 | $20,995 | 8,519 | 2,112 | 7,154 |
| SA | 9,270 | $27,880 | 6,482 | 1,365 | 6,130 |
| TAS | 4,884 | $28,990 | 3,146 | 811 | 2,767 |
| ACT | 2,060 | $24,950 | 1,837 | 75 | 974 |
| NT | 1,674 | $33,980 | 1,072 | 53 | 780 |
“over” is the cars whose price the median was taken across, which is fewer than the cars standing. The proved column sums to the same total as the day-by-day table, because both are written in one pass under one rule. The cut column does not: cars repriced down IN THAT STATE. A car advertised in two states is in both, so this column does not sum to the market total.
What left, by model
The twelve models with most proved exits; stock and its median used ask on the last recorded day, cuts and rises once per car per day.
| Model | Proved exits | Live at close | Median used ask | Median days adv. | Cuts | Rises |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ford Ranger | 5,212 | 9,315 | $41,999 | 53d | 6,883 | 673 |
| Ford Everest | 2,376 | 4,474 | $52,990 | 59d | 3,983 | 347 |
| Toyota Hilux | 2,369 | 4,207 | $44,990 | 32d | 3,621 | 269 |
| Toyota RAV4 | 2,312 | 3,885 | $39,888 | 28d | 3,489 | 273 |
| Hyundai Tucson | 2,220 | 4,908 | $29,990 | 55d | 3,365 | 463 |
| Mitsubishi Outlander | 1,892 | 4,751 | $29,950 | 65d | 3,004 | 678 |
| Hyundai i30 | 1,884 | 3,019 | $22,990 | 37d | 1,886 | 283 |
| Mitsubishi Triton | 1,816 | 3,719 | $29,990 | 60d | 2,133 | 659 |
| Nissan X-trail | 1,812 | 5,390 | $27,998 | 79d | 3,236 | 333 |
| Hyundai Kona | 1,795 | 3,961 | $29,490 | 54d | 2,261 | 398 |
| GWM Haval Jolion | 1,739 | 3,157 | $23,884 | 36d | 1,067 | 211 |
| Mazda CX-5 | 1,728 | 3,695 | $26,990 | 42d | 1,911 | 225 |
Days to sell, by state and segment
Days to sell by state and segment, 1 Sept to 30 Sept
| State | SUV | Wagon | Ute | Hatch | Sedan | Van | Coupe | Convertible | People mover | Bus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QLD | 26d1,660 | 26d870 | 26d961 | 18d592 | 21d354 | 21d83 | 25d70 | [u]10 | [u]1 | [u]5 |
| VIC | 36d1,637 | 28d744 | 29d582 | 22d540 | 21d330 | 32d122 | 23d57 | [u]10 | [u]14 | [u]2 |
| NSW | 27d1,359 | 25d719 | 25d628 | 19d507 | 21d263 | 28d63 | 28d44 | [u]3 | [u]4 | — |
| WA | 41d1,269 | 37d633 | 40d650 | 31d449 | 31d270 | 31d61 | 32d93 | [u]14 | — | [u]3 |
| SA | 28d463 | 23d168 | 30d184 | 23d115 | 16d73 | [u]10 | [u]7 | [u]1 | [u]1 | — |
| TAS | 38d308 | 26d169 | 41d202 | 20d109 | 31d44 | [u]19 | [u]9 | [u]2 | — | — |
| not stated | 53d33 | [u]11 | [u]17 | [u]8 | [u]6 | [u]1 | — | [u]1 | — | — |
| NT | [u]10 | [u]4 | [u]16 | — | [u]3 | — | [u]1 | [u]1 | — | — |
Source: the period's proved exits.
What the prices in this report are
As at 2026-09-30, 99,682 live prices were quoted drive-away, 47,357 excluding government charges, and 91,962 did not say. Every median above is a median across that mix.
The corpus behind these figures
Spotlot monitored 224,506 listings on 2026-09-01 and 233,979 on 2026-09-30 (157,592 physical cars after syndication). listings monitored by Spotlot, which grows with coverage; not a count of the Australian market.
What this report withholds, and why
- new to market: first seen during a coverage ramp is discovery, not listing; withheld until coverage stabilises
- median ask movement: a median over a sample whose size moves with coverage measures composition; withheld until a week's n holds still